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- Nigel Farage is the new 7/2 favourite to succeed Keir Starmer as PM.
- Starmer's net satisfaction hits record low of -66 in Ipsos polling.
- Reform UK now leads the polls on 34% ahead of Labour and Conservatives.
Farage Now Favourite as Political Landscape Shifts
Nigel Farage is now the 7/2 favourite with UK Betting Sites to become the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, as public dissatisfaction with current PM Keir Starmer reaches record levels.
New Ipsos polling shows Starmer with a net satisfaction score of -66, making him the most unpopular Prime Minister in the history of Ipsos tracking.
The data coincides with a major poll shift that sees Reform UK now leading on 34%, ahead of Labour (22%) and the Conservatives (14%), who have fallen to a historic low.
Lib Dems and Greens are both tied at 12%.
Ladbrokes' latest market gives an implied probability of 22.2% that Farage is the next Prime Minister.
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excluded. Min first £5/€5 bet within 14 days of account registration at min odds 1/2 to get 6 x £5/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned). Restrictions + T&Cs apply.
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Next Prime Minister Betting Odds (To Succeed Keir Starmer)
| Candidate | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Nigel Farage | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Wes Streeting | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Andy Burnham | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Shabana Mahmood | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Yvette Cooper | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Angela Rayner | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Zack Polanski | 33/1 | 2.9% |
Farage's return to frontline politics and Reform's surge has propelled him to the top of the betting markets.
Close behind in the odds are Labour’s Wes Streeting and Andy Burnham, with Shabana Mahmood, Yvette Cooper, and Angela Rayner also seen as potential successors within Labour ranks should Starmer step down.
Where To Bet on the Next UK Prime Minister
UK betting sites continue to offer extensive political markets, including who will succeed Keir Starmer, party leaders, and overall majority betting.
One of the most active platforms is Ladbrokes, currently offering 7/2 on Farage.
New customers can also claim a popular sign-up deal:
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excluded. Min first £5/€5 bet within 14 days of account registration at min odds 1/2 to get 6 x £5/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned). Restrictions + T&Cs apply.
#ad. 18+, gambleaware.org, T&Cs Apply
